Sunday, December 30, 2012

Melbourne 2012: Afterwards


When you're not working to a deadline and you don't have anything much to write about the solution is fairly straightforward. Write nothing and wait. Something will turn up. It always does, and the wait allows time for certain other issues to sort themselves out.

It would have been easy to follow Friday's dismal performance from Sri Lanka with a gloating anticipation of glorious victories in India and a successful Double Ashes campaign, which would have been a mistake, because we're going to be doing it tough in both environments and events over the weekend have arguably made things tougher.

What we saw of Friday was the dismantlement of an injury-weakened batting lineup by a bowling group that was starting to hit its straps, following a rather good bit of fielding that got the first wicket.

And it was an injury-riddled batting lineup operating in circumstances where they weren't going to be comfortable even if those who weren't able to front at the crease were absent due to muscle tears or food poisoning rather than broken digits caused by the impact of hurtling cricket balls.

That said, Siddle, Johnson and Bird did their job well, and Lyon backed them up well enough so that the absence of Watson from the bowling crease didn't produce the sort of workload that ruled Siddle and Hilfenhaus out of Perth.

There was the predictable concern over the bowling lineup for Sydney, since the logical rotation would involve Siddle out for Starc, but the selection panel have, in the interim, thrown up an interesting one by going for Maxwell ahead of Khawaja in a move that would seem to be looking towards India rather than turning to the next logical cab off the rank.

The next logical cab will presumably slot into the space left by Hussey's retirement, which was the epitome of wait until something turns up to write about, wasn't it? But we'll be back to that because it wasn't the only thing that turned up.

Maxwell, one presumes, is being looked at as the spinning all-rounder who might go well in India, which is fair enough. See how he goes in Sydney, which is tipped to turn. That should reveal something.

Slot him into Six or Seven (with Wade at Six) with Clarke and Hussey moving up one and you might not have your strongest batting order, but it opens up possibilities assuming Johnson goes in at Eight with a charter as a bowling all-rounder.

That's assuming Sydney looks like a turner and you decide to play the two spinners. If that's not the case there's the possibility of resting Lyon, or naming Maxwell as drinks waiter (which would remove the see how he goes before India from the equation) and playing the four quicks with Johnson batting Seven as the all-rounder.

At 2-0 in the series with one to play that wouldn't hurt either.

If we play both spinners, spell Siddle. He's the go to man if things aren't running our way at the moment, so let's see who out of Johnson, Starc and Bird can slot into that role if he's out injured at some point over the next twelve months.

Hopefully the next go to man, or rather the man who'll remove the need to go to Siddle through The Double Ashes series will be Johnson, based on an article in The Australian (here).

Dennis Lillee's TUFF (Targets, stand Up, Front arm, Follow through) looks to be the formula to right the technical issues that creep into Johnson's action, and with the Target being a spot on the pitch rather than the batsman at the other end (though that'll come later, after the ball lifts off that nasty length), come Ashes time I'm looking forward to a further succession of finger injuries among batsmen playing for their country in front of crowds who definitely seem to rate him as a damp squib.

The English crowds definitely don't rate him, the English bats probably don't rate him and the prospect of proving them wrong will doubtless put a bit of fire in the belly.

Hughesy's tip: Watch the English media for the return of Mitchell's heartbroken mother.

We've also had the news that Watson apparently wants to be considered as a non-bowling batsman rather than an all-rounder, which is fair enough as long as he accepts that the rules that apply to other specialist bats also apply to him. That conversion rate will need to be addressed, and the Hussey retirement delivers him some sort of lifeline.

Ignoring the Maxwell selection, a fit Watson still batting at Four would mean a top six that reads Warner, Cowan, Hughes, Watson, Clarke, Khawaja with Wade at Seven and Johnson/Maxwell at Eight. That'd still be light on in the bowling department if you're looking at bowling 270 overs through three days without anyone going over fifty, but there's an obvious solution to that. Get 'em out quicker and you won't have to worry.

As far as the Hussey retirement is concerned, you'd probably have preferred it to come twelve months later when you look at issues relating to the first four, but it had to come some time, and he's getting out at the right time to give someone (presumably Khawaja) the chance to settle a place before England. Of course, you might prefer to be settling in somewhere other than India.

Maybe it's a glass half full attitude, but I'm fairly upbeat about both of those series. India don't appear to have their heart in the Test cricket bit recently, but I expect we'll be served up a regular diet of slow and low tracks with the odd raging turner. England, of course, will be different, and one assumes we'll be taking a squad of fifteen or sixteen on both tours, so let's do a bit of crystal ball gazing.

Based on the current twelve remaining fit we've got room for three or four more. Given the fact that Watson will be one of the extras, and two of them will be bowlers that only leaves room for one spare bat. Assuming there isn't a big move in the Shield aggregates over the rest of the season you'd figure the extra bloke will be Doolan, but I'd go slightly out on a limb and take Chris Rogers, who might be getting on a bit but has plenty of experience in English conditions.

Alternatively, if we're looking for a spare bat who can keep, that'd more than likely be Paine, though Chris Hartley has been among the runs in the Shield.

The bowling's more open, since it's largely a question of who hasn't broken down recently.

For India, with Lyon, Maxwell and Warner in the side and the likelihood that Clarke will also roll the arm over, the spin options look to be covered, so you'd take the four current quicks with two more to cover for injuries along the way. Assuming Pattinson isn't fit, I'd go Hastings and whoever finishes on top of the Shield wickets table for India. England is a little bit different, and not just because of the conditions.

Pattinson, one hopes, will be fit by that stage, and a fast bowling group of Siddle, Pattinson, Johnson, Bird, Starc and one more would look pretty sharp, so it's largely a question of continuing fitness with those five and what you're looking for in the other bloke.

You might go for the bloke who's going to do well in the conditions, do a fair bit of donkey work and swing the ball, but I'd be inclined to head for the fastest, most aggressive bloke going around at the top of the Shield table at the end of the season or, preferably, a fit Cummins.

I think you can take it as read that we'll find wickets that are conducive to fast bowling and conditions amenable to swing, and an English side that'll be looking to their fairly impressive array of quicks with support from Swann, so we might as well set out to fight fire with fire.

We're going to cop plenty from their media when we arrive, and the crowds while we're there, so an aggressive mindset will, I think, be helpful.

Which is probably where we should turn our attention to the other major story over the weekend, namely the passing of Tony Greig, but given the fact that I loathed the man's commentary while he was on Nine and I was still listening, you won't find him being mourned around these parts. Strangely, I didn't mind him when he was working elsewhere, which suggests an issue with the Channel Nine approach and how Mr Greig fitted into it.

The key bit here, I think, is the repeated use of the word provocative in the flow of tributes that have appeared since the news broke. If you're going to be provocative, you can expect a reaction, and since my reaction could be fairly described as contemptuous loathing, maybe I should leave it at that.

But I won't, because I see a lot of the same provocative behaviour in the English media and, when you get to the ground, the old Barmy Army, who we're told are part of the spectacle (or something). We're going to be copping a fair bit of that provocation over the next twelve months, so the question is what we do about it. With the Greig commentary it was easy. Turn him off and it won't bother you.

With the Barmy Army there's nothing you can do over there, so I'm hoping for an aggressive display from the pace bowling group and a stream, or at least a trickle, of batsmen retiring hurt to see how the reactions from the other side of the fence go. They do mockery and ridicule fairly well, so the only thing to do on their turf is to stand up and be counted.

Over here, things ought to be different. This is our turf, they're the visitors, and if they're going to mock and ridicule they should expect the same thing to be coming straight back at them.

I'd put an extra couple of conditions on anyone visiting an Australian ground and behaving in an obviously Barmy Army manner.

For a start, if they wear something that identifies them as an English supporter they should expect to pay a surcharge for beer at the ground, and forbidden to bring any noisemaking device into the ground. This should be clearly discriminatory and designed to rankle. They're out to rankle, so don't dish it out if you can't cop it back, boys.

Better, for my money, would be the issuing of a cake of soap to all inbound English supporters and the requirement that anybody engaged in obvious Barmy Army activity should be able to produce the article or face being evicted from the ground.

And if they use the items in question as part of their antics, there should be a message on the big screen at the ground like Yes, but are you actually going to use it?

Offensive? Quite possibly. But, on the other hand, if you want to dish it out…

Alternatively, of course, you could just sit down and watch what looks like being a fairly tight contest, which is what I'd prefer to do.

Without distractions.

What’s wrong with that concept?

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Melbourne 2012: Day Two. The Watto Conundrum.


The difficulties that arise from the early to bed early to rise bit kicked in as I scrolled down the Twitter feed around four this morning to find a couple of comments on Shane Watson's fitness and future. That's an issue that had been given a fair pummelling on the radio commentary yesterday, and the first reaction was an ah, yes, more of the same.

Scroll down a bit further, though, and there's the report of the latest injury. That calf muscle is playing up again, and it raises questions on around four fronts.

So, with The Reader's indulgence, I'd like to explore them.

The first relates to potential, how we try to spot it at a young age and what happens when we think we've succeeded. Then there are the separate issues related to Watto's batting and bowling and, finally, there's the question of the vice-captaincy.

I'd need to get out the Bowen Schoolboys' scorebooks to check on it definitively, but I suspect my awareness of a Shane Watson may date back as far as 1991, when I took a busload of kids on a loop through south-east Queensland. This was something that had its origins four years earlier when two rather influential figures associated with Queensland Primary School Cricket approached me with a question about this idea they'd be kicking around.

One of them was the President of the State body, the other the State Coach (later the key powerbroker on the selection panel). Both came from the Ipswich Schoolboys coaching setup, which is, or was, from what I've seen a unique non-club-affiliated setup that offers Saturday morning coaching to primary school kids from Year One upwards. That bit is, I think, significant, because it means they've got the ability to look at kids from before they hit the Under-Eight group, which is where Junior Cricket tends to kick in.

It was also, and I think this also has some bearing on the way things turned out, a time when there was a genuine border war between the school cricket set-up and the state-wide Junior associations, and the war concerned priorities in the Under-Thirteen age group.

For years, the Juniors had selected representative sides in the Twelves, Fourteens and Sixteens, which left the schools free to do their thing in the Thirteens and Fifteens at a time when state carnivals run by the two separate bodies clashed, so kids had to go one way or the other.

There's also, in the south-east of the state, a couple of Sunday fifty over competitions, the Treloar (formerly Shell) Shield for the Year Sevens and McCasker Trophy for Year Sixes. The teams that play for these are one step below the regional sides that head off to the State Carnival, and the existence of the two competitions was, to put it rather bluntly, a pain in the neck when you weren't from the southeast corner and were looking to push kids towards State selection.

It was difficult to avoid the suspicion that the selection panel had already drawn up a list of players of interest (that was invariably denied, usually with some vehemence) and the NQ position tended to be that if we wanted to get our kids looked at properly we needed to get someone onto the selection panel, though there's more than one way to skin a cat.

Which is why, when Granty and Les cornered me and asked whether I reckoned they'd be able to get a game in Bowen if they put their Shell and McCasker sides on a bus and headed north, my response was an immediate and definite yes.

That first trip came in a marathon exercise in 1988, and involved games in Rockhampton, Bowen, Burdekin, Townsville, Pioneer Valley and Gladstone over the two week September vacation. They weren't going to repeat the exercise every year, which explains why, having hosted them in '88 and gone along for the ride while they headed to Townsville, I organised a bus trip for Whitsunday kids in 1989.

They repeated their exercise in '90 and that explains why I was back down there in '91, when there may well have been a Year Five kid with the surname Watson playing for their McCasker side against my bus trip kids.

There was definitely a Watson on the bus when they headed north on '92, because he belted my collection of local kids all around the park, scoring a substantial ton while I set about trying to get a wicketkeeper from Proserpine noticed in the other game, where an assortment of last year's Bowen kids, a couple of ring ins and a smattering of this year's side were taking on the Ipswich Shell side.

Watson was there in the West Moreton side when we went down to the State Carnival in Toowoomba later that year, and may have been the bowler Josh Movigliatti slapped for six off the last ball of the fiftieth over, securing the margin that eventually won us the game and put us on the road to winning the State Final.

He was there again when we went to Bundaberg next year, and went on to make that year's State side (which was obviously what he was being set for) and subsequently picked up a scholarship to Ipswich Grammar school, providing an education one suspects his parents may not have been able to afford to pay for. I'd organised something similar for a Bowen kid some five years earlier.

Watson subsequently made his way through the ranks, up to the point where he headed off to the Australian Cricket Academy and was subsequently lured for a spell in Tasmania before he headed back to the Sunshine State and subsequently relocated to Sydney.

Now, that's a rather longwinded ay of getting to the point, but the point here is that we're talking someone who has obviously been identified as something special from a very young age and been carefully nurtured to bring him along.

You probably guessed that already, but the long windedness is my way of pointing out that I saw some of the early part, and I'm not Kerry O'Keeffe saying He went to Ipswich Grammar, didn't he? I know he did, and I know the boarding master who would have largely set those arrangements in place. He was driving the Ipswich Schoolboys' bus in '88, '90 and '92.

Significantly, by the time he hit secondary school Watson had succumbed to the first round of stress fractures in a lengthy list of injury problems.

This word of mouth thing is something that will seem very clannish to an outsider, but it was obvious Shane was being set for stardom, and it was obvious from the time he was twelve. In Bundaberg, if I recall correctly, he hadn't had a great Carnival, and I saw him being spoken to quite seriously as he waited to bat in the Final. Spoken to, in fact, by the most influential member of the selection panel and the State President, both of whom, of course, had known him since he was knee high to a grasshopper.

Now, anyone who has done any coaching at all has probably dreamed of finding a kid who's good enough to play for Australia, and there aren't too many who actually have, but you don't get into contention for an Australian side without picking up significant word of mouth along the way and that word of mouth can often influence people to persist with players in situations where someone else might get dropped.

I'm not suggesting Shane needed to make runs in that State Final to make the State side, but the game was delicately poised, and I think that if West Moreton or Metropolitan West were going to win that game they needed runs from their star batting all-rounder.

I don't think you can look at Watson's current situation without being aware of those factors running through his background. He was set for stardom a long time ago, and he's been thought of in that Botham, Kallis, Flintoff role since he was in short pants.

So, where are we going with this one? What about the batting, the bowling and the vice-captaincy?

Let's turn the attention to the batting, because that was what he was doing yesterday when the failure to turn fifties into hundreds was put under the microscope.

Since age eleven he's been rated good enough to play for Australia, and along the way he's picked up influential supporters on the basis that he's good enough to bat in the top six, and will be a very useful third or fourth seamer. It's that combination that counts here.

If he's just being looked at as a bat, the failure to convert is, indeed, a strong argument for someone else. On current form you may well be inclined to look elsewhere if you're just looking at the batting.

And if you're just looking at the batting then, yes, he might be better suited to opening. Fine. But if you head down that direction it seems you're putting a line through the bowling side of things. Maybe not ruling it out completely, but definitely limiting that fourth seamer's role.

For mine, he bats somewhere between Three and Seven if he's going to bowl, and if he isn't he can open, but the same form factors that apply to every other specialist bat apply.

But there's the bowling to consider as well, and in the current situation where injury problems are being associated with sending down more than fifty overs in a Test, Watto's overs are a very important consideration. Take them out of the equation and go into a Test with three specialist seamers and a spinner and you're back in the situation where Siddle and Hilfenhaus were ruled out of Perth after Pattinson broke down in Adelaide.

In the current situation there's definitely a place for a third or fourth seamer who can bat in the first seven. In fact, if you're going to play a spinner (and that's another kettle of fish) that's where he has to bat because his fast bowling confreres and the spinner will be Eight, Nine, Ten and Jack.

There's a further significant consideration. When you're talking Watto and adding fourth seamer to the equation you're not just getting a common or garden fourth seamer. When he's fit and firing he's bordering on the genuinely quick side of things with the genuinely quick temperament to match.

We might be looking for someone in the Kallis mould, and he might not be quite there, but throw in that temperament and you've arguably got someone in, say, the same class as Botham with a significantly lower crap ball quotient.

Or a Flintoff who bats a bit better...

Which, I guess, underlines the Bowling Watto goes somewhere between Three and Six argument. If he's not going to bowl he may be leaving a vacancy for someone who can bowl and bat Seven with Wade at Six, but that starts to bring in questions about Hussey, doesn't it?

Then there's the Vice-Captaincy which is, from where I'm sitting, a mistake. Assuming the Vice-Captain is the heir apparent to the Captaincy there's no point in giving it to somebody who is, increasingly, looking like a game by game proposition.

If he's forced out through injury the Vice Captaincy should go elsewhere, and it shouldn't be automatically restored when he's back in the fold again.

On the question of his replacement it's obvious Khawaja is the first cab off the rank, which, in turn, opens up other possibilities if and when Watto returns. If Khawaja fires and question marks remain beside the names of Cowan or Hughes, Usman can bat Three and the survivor can open with Warner.

Given the fact that we're heading into the final Test on Wednesday, with the short turnaround there's the possibility of further fractures in the fast bowling ranks, so Khawaja's inclusion may raise the question of who bowls Watto's overs. In that regard, I'd return to my earlier point that anyone with aspirations for a specialist batting spot in the Australian top six would be well advised to work on his bowling.

In any case, since we've got a couple of relatively inconsequential One Day series after this we can bowl Siddle, Johnson and Bird to the point where they'll need to be rested, can't we?

The key questions for today, for Hughesy's money:

Does Johnson get his ton? If he does, might that justify a move up the order to Eight or, dare I say it, Seven? With Wade slotting into Six when Hussey goes and the fourth seamer who can bat a bit (and I'm thinking Henriques, Christian or perhaps Mitchell Marsh here) at Seven or Eight?

Oh, and do Siddle and company get the day off tomorrow?

Wednesday, December 26, 2012

Melbourne 2012: Day One


You can say what you like about the rotation policy (whether the beast actually exists or not, which is, of course, an entirely different kettle of fish) but it's hard to imagine an Australian attack doing much better than Messrs Siddle, Bird, Johnson and Watson did against Sri Lanka yesterday.

True, it was against a side batting first on a track that had a little early life (as they should if we're not going to paint a line down the middle of the thing).

Yes, it was against a side that was brought up on flat decks who don't like it bouncy in the first place, even if they have chosen to bat after winning the toss.

Agreed, it wasn't the best trio plus Watson we could put on the park, but Pattinson and Cummins are injured, and Starc, if you can believe the word that's being put out, had some niggles so it wasn't a rigid enforcement of a policy that may not exist (that's according to the same sources that're suggesting Starc wasn't quite right).

That, however, is the point.

We have an issue with fast bowlers breaking down, so it's increasingly unlikely we'll have our best trio plus Watson on the park at any time in the foreseeable future, though it's always nice to dream. What we need is a viable bowling group that's capable of taking twenty wickets between them, and this one definitely looked the part yesterday.

They might not look the part tomorrow, or next week, or at some unspecified time in the future, but they looked the part yesterday, and that's what mattered.

Bird, the controversial part of the equation (assuming the final decision was based on Bird or Starc rather than Johnson or Starc) looked the goods and did enough to suggest he'll be an ongoing part of the group. He'll probably bowl better and do worse in terms of results in the wickets taken column, and he may not go on at all, but he did enough to suggest he's going to be around for a bit.

Siddle was Siddle, which is what we expect, and the issue where he's concerned is to ensure that he's there rather than sitting on the sidelines, which means he may need to be rested some time, and you'd think Sydney may be the occasion.

And if Siddle was Siddle, Johnson was definitely Johnson, leaking a few runs when Sangakkara got onto him, but I think you want the bats fancying their chances against him.

And when Lyon came on to help with the mopping up he obliged.

Generally, I thought, it was a tidy performance. Maybe not a great one, but as good as you're entitled to expect.

It's a pity you can't say the same thing about the batting.

Another run out that results from ball watching was what actually did the damage, of course, but I definitely heard echoes of Geoffrey Boycott suggesting things wouldn't look so cheery if you added three quick wickets to the score as we went from 0/95 to 3/117.

Warner went the way he's always likely to go, perhaps a little earlier than he should have done to a trap that had obviously just been set, but that's the way he bats and he's there with a licence to give it a go.

Cowan's dismissal wasn't that bad a shot snared by a very good catch, but that's what happens at the top level, so you take the good with the bad even if you do occasionally get the rough end of the pineapple.

Which brings me to Hughes, and a second run out in a fairly short time span since his recall to the side. This is what shouldn't happen at the top level, though it's hard to see how the fault can be rectified when it does.

If you were running a squad of juniors with a couple of coaches on the ground you could address this sort of thing in a centre wicket practice session, with bowlers bowling, batsmen batting and running between wickets and the coaching staff keeping an eagle eye on proceedings, dismissing batsmen for failure to call correctly, failing to respond, turning blind or using any other pernickety excuse to pounce on bad habits before they become ingrained. One mistake and you're out, next please, and you'd be looking to run through the side in about half an hour.

You'd then send 'em off for a drink, call them back, deliver the lecture and remind them of the way things are supposed to work, and then spend an hour on a similar exercise with slightly less stringent supervision.

I'm not sure you'd be able to do that with an international side. Maybe a return to the basics as per the coaching manual would be possible by invoking an automatic $10 (or 20, or 100, the amount probably isn't important) fine for the team slush fund if someone is spotted watching the ball rather than going on the partner's call).

In a competitive environment you'd expect the entire dressing room to be on the lookout once one or two of them had been pinged for the hundred or whatever. After all, once you've been pinged there's a score to settle with the blokes who pinged you...

But it's something that needs thinking about. We hear all sorts of justifications for things that don't quite fit into the conventional thinking and the coaching manual, such as Dean Jones' suggestion that turning blind gave him extra microseconds to turn ones into twos, twos into threes. I'm sure it did, but if it also happened to cost a wicket or two the extra couple of runs probably wasn't worth it.

In any case, at 3/150 casing 156, Clarke and Watson at the crease, Hussey, Wade and the tail to come you'd be looking towards something between 400 and 450 as a par score by stumps today, and a win by an innings and a bit around the middle of the last session on Day Four, but there's many a slip between the cup and the lip…

Tuesday, December 25, 2012

Melbourne 2012: Pre-Test Prognostications



You might think, given the quantity of column inches devoted to the fast bowling rotation policy and the question mark over Michael Clarke's hamstring, there's not much that can be added to what's already out there, but as I set off around the morning lap around town last Friday I devoted a fair bit of thought to these matters, and though it's close to a week later I'm still inclined to have a go at transferring those thoughts into digital data.

Now, I should make it clear from the start that I don't have an issue with the rotation policy, arbitrary and inconsistent as it would seem to be. That inconsistency, by the way, is largely an issue because there seems to be one rule for the trundlers and another for the willow-wielders.

But we already knew that, didn't we? As Freddie Trueman was wont to remark the last bowler to receive a knighthood was Sir Francis Drake. That's not actually true either, but the astute reader will catch my drift.

So, predictably, Starc makes way for Bird to make his debut, and a bit over three hours before the start of the Boxing Day Test a squiz at the ABC News website has Clarke 'positive' about Boxing Day Test.

So let's tick all the boxes beside the Clarke will play argument.

He's the captain, so he gets to decide his own fate, having watched while Ponting did the same thing. Check.

He's a batsman. Say no more. Check.

There's a chance he'll pass Punter's record for the number of runs scored in a calendar year if he plays, and there's an outside chance he can run down Mohammad Yousuf's record number of runs in a calendar year. He'll need a triple century to do it (or perhaps a double and a single) to do it, which would effectively rule out any niggling questions about his hammie if he managed to do it.

Along the way, even if he doesn't reach an aggregate of 1789 for 2012, he's sitting on 1489, and may well pass Ponting's 1503 from 2003 and 1544 from 2005, Tendulkar's 1562 from 2010, Graham Smith's 1656 from 2008, and possibly Viv Richards' 1710 from 1976.

So there are records out there that might be rewritten. Check.

And there's the question of whether Watto is the right man to fill in the captaincy if Pup doesn't play. See He's the captain above. Check.

But let's pause for a moment and consider what happens if he does play, scores that triple century and does the hammie again, ruling him out of India and The Ashes. Worth the risk?

From where I'm sitting the whole chamozzle is the result of long standing issues that run all the way back to that fateful morning in 2005 when McGrath trod on the cricket ball, turned his ankle and lost us The Ashes.

You might think that's drawing a long bow, but stop for a moment and consider what ensued out of that loss.

First, we had a whole slew of retirements that were postponed until after we got the urn back in 2007. Virtually every member of that 2005 side played on until things were put right, and when you're looking at the who else could do the job as skipper bit today question, the first thing you note is the absence of established senior players apart from Messrs Clarke and Hussey.

Then, when we'd got the urn back we promptly yielded it again in 2009, with the Mitchell Johnson issue influencing team selection (we might need Watto to bowl, so how do we fit him in the eleven? Well, I guess he has to open) and subsequent desire on Ponting's part to go over and bring the thing back again.

The result of all that is a batting order where One, Two and Three are still finding their feet, and while we've possibly got an adequate substitute waiting in the wings the uncertainty about the top means you might be tempted to play it sort of safe by giving Pup a run.

Actually, if you take the building up the stocks argument that is used to justify rotating the quicks, Clarke should not play. Give Khawaja the run and spell Hussey for Sydney so either Khawaja gets a second go or Doolan gets a guernsey to see how he looks.

After all, Starc gets rested to make sure he's fit for India and England, and slots into a pace battery that reads (at the moment, fully fit) Siddle, Starc, Johnson, Bird, Watson with Pattinson, Cummins, Hilfenhaus, Hastings and any number of other contenders lurking on the fringes waiting for a chance to prove their fitness.

I'm fairly upbeat about getting a strong attack out of that bunch, a collective of seven to nine bowlers who can be mixed and matched without losing too much.

But when it comes to the batting, no, we have to play Clarke (or Ponting or Hussey, take your pick, the name's not important, it's the principle) because he's the best we've got for that job even if he's got a question mark over fitness, form or whatever.

I recently heard someone ask what happened to South Australia's Callum Ferguson, who seemed, at one point, to be the next cab off the batting rank. Well, it's obvious, isn't it? He might have been scoring runs at the time but we don't do rotations as far as the batting's concerned, because batsmen are less likely to break down...

But it is, and arguably has always been, a batsman's game…

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Hobart 2012: Day Five


It took a bit longer than one would have liked, but in the end Hobart wound up delivering the 1-0 lead in the three Test series that should ensure Australia's spot in the Test rankings doesn't slip.

At the same time this wasn't the performance of a side that's going to be moving upwards in those rankings either. It's difficult to see us outgunning South Africa any time in the immediate future and England have done remarkably well on the subcontinent. If either is going to slip from their current spots in the pecking order it'll most likely be the result of failure to deliver their full potential.

That could happen, of course. Kevin Pietersen could have another spat with everyone else in the England dressing room, and the entire South African pace attack could be struck down with a case of food poisoning that leaves them incapable of hitting the 120kph mark for the next eighteen months, but those are the sort of factors you can't bank on.

The only things you can work on, in the long run, are the things you control, and the performances of teams playing in other games isn't one of them.

So, at this point, how do we look?

Well, it must be said, we're probably about where we could reasonably expect to be, with one or two major problems.

The first of those is that the attack needs to include Siddle since he's the one bloke who seems able to perform consistently. Take him out and the difference is obvious.

The second is that Lyon seems to have run into the wall in the Work in Progress department. Maybe there's a bit of the we're missing one of the quicks factor in there, but he's failed to deliver the last day knockout blow twice now. Alarm bells should be ringing.

As far as the batting order is concerned the top three look to be about as good as we can come up with, though none of them have concreted themselves into their spot in the order.

Warner looks secure in one opener's spot, Cowan looked ugly in the first dig and much better in the second and Hughes did enough to justify selection without staking a cast iron claim to Three.

I'm not entirely convinced Watson is the answer at Four either, but he can sort that bit out by scoring some runs. In any case I think he's better there than opening. He should be good enough to bat Four, Five or Six and at the moment we need his overs to round out the bowling attack. Twenty overs in the first innings (Starc 24, Siddle 25, Lyon 25) and twenty-seven in the second (Starc 28, Siddle 26, Lyon 32) are probably a bit more than you'd want him to bowl, but he's shown he can do his share of the workload, and there's a bit of snarl in there as well. That's always useful.

Clarke at Five and Hussey at Six are safe, though you can't help wondering if Hussey will be there come April next year.

I'm not sure about Wade behind the sticks, but then again we've moved on from Haddin, there's a question mark over Paine and there isn't an obvious next cab on the rank.

Of the bowlers a fit Siddle is a Shoo-in, Starc is coming along in leaps and bounds, and Lyon will be looking nervously over his shoulder if a spinner starts taking a swag of wickets when the Shield resumes. I don't see any in the leading wicket takers' table at the moment, and that starts with Bird on 27 and runs down to McDermott, Herrick and Siddle with 11, so you'd reckon he's safe for the moment, but still needs to deliver.

Still needs to deliver is, of course, a comment you can attach to Warner, Cowan, Hughes and Wade at the moment, so he's hardly Robinson Crusoe in that department. You'd throw Watson into that list as well if he didn't have the old two bites of the cheery when it comes to performing and there wasn't the issue of bowlers breaking down and the side needing Watto's overs.

As far as Sydney and Melbourne are concerned, Hobart showed there's a bit of fight in this Sri Lankan side, but a 1-0 lead in home conditions with Melbourne next should be enough to bring home the bacon.

Monday, December 17, 2012

Hobart 2012: Day Four


So, on the basis of what unfolded yesterday we're looking at two substitutions and a change. Predictably, the speculation has already started, and one notes (with a certain amount of wry amusement) there's even a suggestion that Haddin may return to the side, playing as a specialist batsman.

Well, I suppose he could, and so, just as an emergency measure you understand, could Ponting (he wrote, tongue firmly in cheek). It all depends on whether you're looking at a stopgap measure or the next step in the evolution of the Australian side.

While I'm not suggesting we're already looking towards a long-term successor for Clarke let's start by looking at the captaincy, where there are three contenders: Watson, Hussey, or someone who's not in the current eleven.

Assuming he's still fit come Boxing Day, which isn't guaranteed, the captaincy has to go to Watson. As Vice Captain he's obviously next in line, so we may as well see what sort of a fist he makes of the role. This, of course, rests on the assumption that we take the last eight wickets today, and that Sri Lanka fail to score the 328 they need for their first victory on Australian soil.

Out of the current XI, the only other possibility is Hussey, who probably wouldn’t do a bad job but isn’t a long term prospect.

Take a look outside the current side, and assuming you don’t do something ridiculous like try to lure Ponting out of retirement, that suggestion of playing Haddin as a specialist bat might make sense if you’re really desperate and convinced Watto can’t do it.

The only other candidate would be Bailey, who could go into the Clarke slot if you were looking to provide a long term alternative to Watto, but he’d have to be able to cement his place in the side, which would only seem to be possible if you remove Hussey from long term considerations.

You'd expect Clarke will be back if injury rules him out of Melbourne, possibly as soon as Sydney, if not, then definitely before India, which seems to have been slotted in (or is in the process of being slotted in) between now and The Ashes in the middle of next year.

So, assuming Watto is fit he's the captain because we need to see what sort of fist he makes of the job.

On the same basis, you'd go Johnson for Hilfenhaus with one major proviso. I heard someone on the ABC commentary referring to a Mitchell Johnson statement that he's looking at a second phase of his career when he does a Lillee, slows down and concentrates on line and length.

Sorry, Mitch, if that's the case don't let the door hit your arse on the way out…

If he plays it has to be with a stern directive that he wangs down an average of around 1.8 really quick deliveries an over. At least one, sometimes two, occasionally three, but they need to be quick.

He can pace himself the rest of the time, operating no slower than fast medium, but there's got to be something there to make batsmen nervous, and it has to be there on a regular basis. Once he’s gone close to taking your head off early in the over you don’t want to be assuming you’re safe for the rest of it, and once he’s done it again...

Assuming Johnson into the eleven for Hilfenhaus you'd be looking for someone to fill his slot as twelfth man, and given the workload the remainder of the current attack will be going through today I'd go for two someones in the shape of Bird and Feldman (or maybe Cutting).

And I'd have both (or possibly all three) of them in an expanded squad of fourteen or fifteen for Melbourne.

On the batting vacancy, I'd go Khawaja or Doolan, and again, I'd have both of them lining up for the team prep in Melbourne, partly to be on the safe side but more particularly to ensure they're getting themselves into long form rather than Big Bash mode if necessary.

So, Hughesy's squad for Christmas lunch in Melbourne:

Warner, Cowan, Hughes, Watson, Clarke (assuming he hasn't been ruled out already), Khawaja/Doolan (both if no Clarke), Hussey, Wade, Siddle, Starc, Johnson, Bird/Feldman (preferably both), Lyon.

And for the rest of the Hobart Test?

Who knows?

If Sri Lanka can get through the first session without losing Sangakarra or Mahela they're actually a chance to win it, more so if that pair are still there at the tea break.

Long term survival on this track against a full attack is, however, highly unlikely.

If Siddle, Starc and Watson are all still firing at lunch and Lyon has been getting some assistance, you'd say the chances of Sri Lanka surviving the day would be slim.

If the three quicks are still on the paddock by tea and Lyon hasn’t been belted out of the attack, you'd say those chances were non-existent, but take just one of them out of the equation and things will become very interesting indeed.

Sunday, December 16, 2012

Hobart 2012: Day Three


Yesterday, being rather bullish about an Australian victory, I concluded:

On the other hand, although we often suspect there's a script in operation, real life tends to have fate lurking around the corner slipping the lead into the boxing glove, so I suspect both declaration scenarios will prove inoperative...

The lead, predictably came in the form of yet another breakdown from yet another Australian fast bowler, and all scenarios promptly went out the window when Hilfenhaus trudged off the field shortly before the Frockster and the Affianced arrived to whisk us off to Monte's for lunch.

An hour to get there, an hour for lunch and an hour to come back took a fair chunk out of the day, and when the neighbour fronted seeking assistance with a network problem that coincided with the Siddle burst that wound up the Sri Lankan innings, so I didn't get to see much of the day's proceedings, and was thinking of giving a Day Three blog entry the big flick pass until I spotted this article in this morning's online edition of The Australian.

I'm not in the habit of grabbing quotes off newspapers for blog entries, but in this case I couldn't help myself.

Team physiotherapist Alex Kountouris said the spate of injuries was a complex problem.

That was followed by a longer quote that could've been cut and pasted, and a listing of the injury toll covering Pattinson, Cummins, Harris, Hastings, Hazlewood, Copeland, Cutting and Mitchell Marsh and goes on to point out that Kountouris has completed a number of studies on fast bowlers along with the team doctors, and that their research suggests anyone under 25 is almost guaranteed to break down once a year.

Hmmm.

Looking down the list of walking wounded there are a couple of side strains apart from the one that took out Hilfie yesterday, back soreness and stress fractures and a serious hamstring injury (Marsh).

So there are recurring themes, and we need to figure out what's causing them. I spent most of the morning walk contemplating these matters and around half way around had reduced the possibilities to three basic factors. The actual cause of each injury issue probably lies in the interaction of the three of them, and that, I guess, is where the complexity comes in.

One possibility, of course, is that it's wear and tear, which is the explanation that brings out the it was different in the old days crowd. Wear and tear becomes a management issue, and we're already heading along that path, but the injuries keep coming.

We've been very careful to limit the workloads of kids on the way up, and we're a long way from the times when there were no bowling limits and I saw twelve-year-old kids sending down as many as twenty-two overs in a fifty over game. Workload limits have progressively been lowered, which may be a contributory factor to the current situation where you might question the core strength of some of these blokes, but those limits aren't going to go away.

And, in any case, if there are going to be wear and tear issues they're probably also going to reflect problems with the other two likely areas of concern.

One of those concerns bowling technique, and the other involves physiology and some of the associated biomechanics. There's almost certainly a degree of interaction between those as well, but let's look at the two of them separately.

You'd reckon that the technical issues that were identified with the bowling action would have been well and truly sorted out by now, but they might be worth a cursory glance just to remind ourselves of things that used to be important around thirty years ago.

At that point, there was a problem with what was termed a mixed action, which was seen to be a contributory factor in stress fractures and involved the correlation between the use of the front arm and the position of the back foot as the bowler lands in his delivery stride. The theory was that if you bowled in the classical side on manner your back foot should land parallel to the popping crease and your front arm should be high and come down straight rather than falling across the body.

If you've got a more front on action (a la Malcolm Marshall) your feet should have been pointing down the track. Land with your back foot parallel, the theory went, and you're setting yourself up for back problems.

Bowling techniques, of course, are an individual thing, and no two actions are exactly the same, but I suspect there are little issues that creep in and need to be addressed, but the key issue in this regard is who spots them and how they get addressed.

And, more significantly, when they get addressed.

There are a number of highly rated coaches out there doing their thing at various levels and it goes without saying they're not going to agree on everything. Dennis Lillee might look at someone's action and say it's fine while, say, Geoff Dymock might look at James Pattinson (and there was something on the ABC radio about this, so it's not something that I just plucked out of the air) and identify an issue here that might have implications there.

Given the nature of the beast, anyone trying to incorporate all of this often-contradictory advice is going to be reminded that a camel is a horse designed by a committee, but if there are highly rated coaches out there and they're identifying things that seem likely to be causing an issue these things should be noted.

Beyond the wear and tear and technical issues, there's the issue of basic physiology and the way it interacts with the bowling action, and here, I suspect, is where the problem lies, particularly if you're looking at the up and coming quickie and suggesting kids today don't have the same core strength they used to have.

The obvious way to overcome this is to set them to work in the gym, which is, I think, fine in theory, but tends to put muscle and bulk in areas where it wouldn't normally be, or places where there wouldn't normally be so much of it.

The other factor that might be contributing is the fact that bowlers in the modern era are trying to do too much in terms of variety of deliveries. Time was you had your quickie bowling a stock ball with one or two variations, but in the era of Twenty20 cricket I've heard suggestions that you need to be able to send down six different deliveries each over to keep the batsman guessing which could well be a recipe for disaster as far as the physiology is concerned.

But enough of that. With Sri Lanka having clawed their way back into the match with 336 in reply to 450, and with 27 added to the 114 run margin, that's a handy lead, and you'd expect, at around a hundred a session, under normal circumstances we'd be looking at around a 250 lead by lunch, 350 by tea and 400 an hour or so into the final session.

Allow for the extra half hour to make up for time lost through rain, and you'd adjust those (and modify again with Warner at the crease and Hughes to come). Hughesy's prediction: 290 ahead by lunch, 410 at tea. Half an hour into the final session before a declaration that sets the visitors 450.

So let's see how the wheels fall off this time...

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Hobart 2012: Day Two


Apart from the rain interruptions it's hard to avoid the conclusion that Day Two in Hobart went pretty much according to the script, though for a while I wasn't sure whose script we were using.

When Clarke went early it could have been Sri Lanka's, the one that called for a brisk run through the Australian tail, presumably by removing Wade before he got started and then would have involved keeping Hussey off strike and maximising the exposure of Eight, Nine, Ten and Jack to Herath while maintaining pressure at the other end.

Instead, Wade got started, Mr Cricket stuck around and the scoring rate ticked over nicely enough to add around 150 before Clarke could declare with enough time for a decent go at the Sri Lankan top order before stumps.

Actually, you have to suspect the declaration came, more or less (and allowing for the extended playing time to make up for the rain delays) where the Australian script would have called for it.

Half an hour before tea would, after all, give you two goes at them with the new ball, one short sharp nasty session before the Tea break, and the two hours after it, and if they'd been on the field all along and scoring around 3.5 to 4 an over (and that'd be a conservative figure when you're batting for a declaration off around 55 overs) they'd have been looking at around 500 to 520 as a target.

On that basis 450 was a pretty fair compromise in the runs/time equation.

The breakthrough didn't come before the break, though there were signs it wasn't far away (then again, with the new ball there are always signs it's lurking just around the corner) but Hilfenhaus got Karunaratne caught behind in the third over after the resumption (tick the script item that indicates local boy gets the breakthrough).

The Australian script also called for an early departure from Sangakarra, and Hussey's catch in the gully fitted nicely with the welcome back workhorse Siddle bit that would have been in the script as well.

2/42 became 3/70 when Watson trapped Jayawardene in front. Decision reviewed, umpire's verdict upheld probably also featured in the script and having Lyon strike early (he'd already bowled an over before tea in a neat little move that squeezed in another one before the break) was another box ticked.

With an early start to Day Three you'd guess 4/87 with Dilshan on 50 and Mathews next in will translate into around 200-240 all out just before tea, raising an interesting question about enforcing the follow on.

The Michael Clarke as aggressive captain script would  call for enforcement, but I'd guess we'll bat again with a lead of over 200, declare midway through Monday and have four and a half sessions to knock them over again.

On the other hand, there's a give the boys an extra day off with close to a week and a half till Boxing Day factor that'd always be likely to tempt Clarke to enforce the follow on, and would also do a bit to (a) establish dominance for the rest of this series and (b) deliver a result that might be worth a bit more in the calculations regarding the rankings leading into The Ashes next year.

On that front one notes India are 8/297 in reply to England's 330 at the end of Day Three in Nagpur, which will make for an interesting two days over that way. A 1-0 series win away from home will presumably boost the England ranking, but one suspects there isn't enough time to build a lead and roll India a second time, so you'd guess 2-0 is out of the question.

One notes that three days have yielded around 630 runs and 18 wickets, so from those figures you'd guess England will set out to bat time, maybe declare with something to bowl at just after lunch on the last day, maybe setting a target of 300 in just under two sessions, which could be interesting.

Particularly if the follow on is enforced in Hobart and proceedings are brought to a close midway through Monday…

On the other hand, although we often suspect there's a script in operation, real life tends to have fate lurking around the corner slipping the lead into the boxing glove, so I suspect both declaration scenarios will prove inoperative...

Friday, December 14, 2012

Hobart 2012: Day One


I'm not 100% sure what to make of Day One in Hobart, but then it's early days in a series against (largely) unknown opposition.

At least they are to me, since the only cricket I get to watch on TV comes via Free to Air and is, therefore, what Channel Nine feels inclined to dish up.

So, no coverage of tours to the subcontinent, the West Indies or virtually anywhere other than England, and definitely no coverage of a Test series that involves anyone other than Australia. Sure, there are a few familiar names in the touring squad, but we haven't been as assiduous as we might be in following the international results.

With South Africa, England, Australia and Pakistan above them in the Test rankings you're looking at Two or Three plays Six, a scenario that means anything less than a series win will affect the home side's current ranking at a time when England seem to be making a pretty fair fist of dealing with the same sort of Indian side we saw out here last summer, but playing at home rather than being subjected to the rigours of touring (tongue in cheek there) and unfamiliar pitches that offer significantly more bounce than they're used to.

With everything being projected towards The Ashes in mid-2013 and again over the New Year, even something like a subtle shift between Two and Three in the rankings will be something that'll get exploited.

But that's bye the bye. What counts at the moment is getting a handle on how this side is shaping up, and this is where the I'm not 100% sure what to make of it factor comes in.

You can, however put a big tick beside Michael Clarke's decision to bat after winning the toss.

It probably comes as no surprise to learn you don't get first class cricket at Bellerive early in the season, and it was the ninth match of the Shield season before Tasmania got a home game. That was against the Redbacks, who were bundled out for 112 in the first dig, rolled the home side for 138, replied with 237 and rolled the Tigers again for 196 with the quicks doing most of the damage.

The  home side didn't do that well against Queensland either, losing by an innings and 123 after being dismissed for 95 in twenty-five overs.Khawaja's 138 on that track in a game where the second highest score was 49 and twelve out of thirty-three scores failed to reach double figures was one of the reasons I liked him for the spot left vacant by Punter's retirement.

And when the Warriors got there in late November they were rolled for 67 in the first dig.

On that basis you'd quite possibly be inclined to send the opposition in.

Sri Lanka, on the other hand, don't have the greatest pace attack in the world, and if you can't handle them in arguable bowl first conditions you're going to struggle against the likes of Anderson and Broad in similar circumstances.

On that basis 4/299 off the full ninety looks like a workmanlike performance, and you'd definitely rate the catch that claimed Watson as one of the better ones you've seen, but that's the sort of chance that tends to go to hand and stick in the heat of a battle that counts. Well bowled, sharp catch, tough luck.
And there seemed to be a bit of reverse going on with the one that claimed Hughes for 86, which is fair enough when the over count's climbing towards sixty, but is, nonetheless, worrying in an Ashes scenario.

But then we come to the openers.

I didn't see anything of Cowan's 136 at the Gabba, but 10 and 29 in Adelaide, and a duck in the first dig in Perth don't exactly fill you with confidence, but, then again  that was against Steyn, Philander, Morkel and Kleinveldt, and he did chip in with 53 in the second innings.

The shot that got him out this time, however, was ugly. Maybe not ugly enough to have you putting a cross against the name yet, but ugly enough to mean he'll need solid scores in the second innings and in Sydney and Melbourne.

With Hughes in the side, maybe there's room for Khawaja yet…

And the Warner run out was, well, one of those things, but it wasn't one of the things you expect from a pair of batsman who must have spent a fair amount of time at the crease together.

As far as the bowling went, I thought it was fairly obviously Number Six in the pecking order and, in a way reminded me of one of my Bowen schoolboy sides playing Townsville. Given the size of the population hereabouts we were never over-endowed with prodigious talent, and usually had to make do with whoever was in the age group at the time, so the best you could do was to hope to keep things as tight as possible for as long as possible, which is what I thought Sri Lanka did rather well yesterday (apart from the ten no balls, which were close to unforgivable, particularly when you saw the extent to which some of them were overstepping).

Sure, Cowan was a gift and Warner was a bonus at a time when the scoreboard was ticking over at just under four per over, and it was still comfortably under four when Watson and Hughes went.

And they got through the full ninety in the day without going too far into overtime with only seventeen coming from the left arm spinner. On that economy rate, by the way, one notes that while Welegedara claimed the three wickets credited to the bowler he also went for almost five an over off twenty, so the rest of an attack that isn't the strongest one going around sent down seventy for exactly 200. Pretty tidy work, that.

Of course, with Clarke on 70, Hussey 37 with Wade to come and Siddle, Starc, Hilfenhaus and Lyon to follow the wheels could well fall off.
And that applies to both sides.

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Hobart 2012: The Lead In


The pursuit of tickets to Bruce Springsteen concerts means that Hughesy's preview of the Hobart Test probably won't be finished by the time play starts at 9:30 Queensland time, but that's fine because the matters that occupied my mind on the pre-Jimbo section of the morning walk hopefully won't be affected by the first session.

One notes a weather forecast suggesting a 50% chance of rain, with possible falls amounting to not very much (0 to 2 mm), so there's a possibility they might not get away on time. That's very much a case of wait and see, as is the composition of the batting order now that they've selected Phil Hughes at the start of the post-Ponting era.

With a top order running Warner, Cowan, Hughes, Watson, Clarke, Hussey, Wade it's a matter of seeing how they go and how long Hussey remains on the scene.

The bowling attack, on the other hand, is probably never going to be resolved to the same degree of certainty, but we'll get to that point a little further down the track.

I would have been inclined to go for Khawaja ahead of Hughes, but then again I haven't seen either of them at the crease this season, and the slotting of a shot-playing opening bat in at Three makes a great deal of sense.

It's quite possible, after all that he'll find himself facing the second ball of the innings, so it makes sense o have someone who can open batting there and, on the other hand, he could find himself coming in half way through the final session at 1/240, a situation where the requirements are slightly different.

Hughes has earned the recall, and I hope he does well.

Watson at Four is aldo a good look since it, as the man himself has pointed out, will allow him to bowl more. This, mind you, is coming from a bloke who saw himself as an opener a while back and wasn't concerned about the bowling bit of the equation. Hmmm….

Clarke sits comfortably at Five, Hussey will continue to be a how much longer question mark at Six, and when he goes that slot is a perfect spot for a newcomer to find his feet.

So the batting, as far as I'm concerned, looks OK.

The bowling, on the other hand, is an entirely different kettle of fish, due to the ongoing injury issue and the question of the rotation policy.

I've got no issue with a rotation policy if it's based on statistics provided they're the right sort of statistics and they're being interpreted correctly with a slight margin for leeway.

The suggestion seems to be that bowlers who send down more than fifty overs in a Test are likely to break down in the next, which would seem to be an issue since the bloke who breaks down delivers an increased workload to the rest of the attack, which would, in turn, bring in the possibility of further breakdowns.

There's also the question of why so many bowlers break down in the first place, but let's set that aside for the moment.


From where I'm sitting a rotation policy is only an issue when you don't have the resources to cover the bloke you're rotating out, and you don't develop those resources without giving the players on the fringe the chance to prove they're good enough. We want a situation where we've got a battery of six to eight fit bowlers we can choose from, and you don't get that without some degree of rotation to bring on the new faces.

Much of the kerfuffle comes back to the decision to rest Siddle and Hilfenhaus from Perth, which came a matter of days after they'd both bowled more than fifty overs trying to win the Test after Pattinson broke down. There was no Watto to bowl there, so let's put that aside for a minute as a necessary precaution against losing Siddle or Hilfenhaus in the longer term.

It wouldn't have been an issue if Pattinson hadn't broken down, so that's one point.

The other one is how you avoid putting any of the quicks into the situation where they're likely to bowl more than fifty in a match.Do that and you're looking after your bowling stocks a lot better.

So let's look at the maths of all this for a minute.

First up, we've got a notional five days with a notional ninety overs to be bowled on each, and you'd anticipate you'd be batting for two of them.

So we're looking at around 180 to 200 overs maximum to be bowled. Four fit bowlers in the lineup would cover that quite adequately. Add Watto to the equation for around four or five spells of no more than three overs each day and you've got that side of things covered, provided the four other bowlers are all fit.

It's when they start to break down that things start to get complicated, so why do they break down?

Now, there's no point in hearkening back to the glory days of Dennis Lillee or Freddie Trueman or whoever and wondering why they don't make 'em like that any more.

There are obvious lifestyle changes that mean kids who grew up in the eighties and nineties don't run around the way they used to, which is one thing. You'd have to suspect kids, and particularly the sort of kid who's likely to grow up to take the new ball, don't have the same robust lifestyle of years gone by.

So there's arguably a base level of fitness and coordination that's not there any more.

One notes that Siddle, if I recall correctly, hails from Gippsland, and probably had a more robust childhood than a kid growing up in suburban Melbourne, particularly if it's a suburb where parents drive their kids to school.

Then there's the move into professional sport where the player doesn't have the need to find gainful employment to pay the bills. Whether Mitchell Johnson's spells in the building industry have anything to do with his cricket fitness may not be important, but it would definitely have meant he'd be out and active for a fair chunk of the day between seven in the morning and four in the afternoon.

Land a gig as a professional athlete and that doesn't apply any more.

But you'll also need to do something to fill in the hours while you're not playing, the ones you would have spent at work earning a crust. You can't play cricket, football or whatever for all those hours, and you can't just sit around and do nothing, so what do you do?

Obvious, isn't it? You go to the gym, where you set about putting on muscle in areas where you wouldn't find it naturally.

And that's muscle that can be injured…

Go to the gym and you'll find plenty of people who know about body building, maybe not to the extent that former Wallaby and Puma Topo Rodriguez did, but still.

Almost twenty-seven years ago I spent the Australia Day long weekend over at Monte's reef Resort, where Wallaby Roger Gould was visiting his girlfriend and avoiding fitness tests being conducted by Alan Jones. Gould's job, as I recall it, had something to do with refrigeration and he's been called to fix a problem, which meant he'd regretfully have to miss the fitness test.

Apparently he wasn't the only Wallaby on that particular flight to Proserpine.

He was looking after the bar on a quiet Friday night, and someone asked him about players who were tough to tackle. Roger referred to the tender spot just under your ribcage on the side, where you can usually inflict a little pain if you can get the fingers in there. Everyone has that potential weakness, but not Topo Rodriguez.

I suspect excessive gym work under the supervision of someone who's more concerned with adding muscle than making sure it's appropriate muscle is an accident waiting to happen.

You have to wonder how many of the fast bowlers' injuries are affecting muscles that normally wouldn't be there or have been developed to a point that wouldn't happen under normal circumstances.

There ate also technical issues, although we've had about thirty years of expert coaching which you'd think would be more than enough to ensure that basic issues that affect bowling actions have been sorted out.

Maybe they have, but at the same time you'd have to suspect there's a degree of over coaching, another off shoot of the professional era where ex-players can find a career path once their playing days are over. I suspect there's a degree of remodelling being applied in situations where a little bit of tweaking is required.

But you need to be doing something to justify that pay packet, don't you?

No, if that no more than fifty overs is the key point, you make sure you're not going to be asking the bloke to trundle down fifty-one, or, if you must ask them to you make sure you're asking a bloke who has shown he probably can.

That's why I'd like to see the likes of Henriques and Christian (there are others around, but let's keep this bit fairly simple) being developed to the point where they could bat in the top seven and deliver some useful overs as well.

That would also have the extra benefit of putting a bit of pressure on Watto to actually deliver rather than promise to.

At the same time, anyone who is looking to secure a batting slot should be looking to develop his bowling to a point where he could send down a handful of useful overs if asked. It might only be four or five while Lyon's wheeling away at the other end and we're waiting for the new ball, but every little bit helps…

Actually, if Watson (twelve to fifteen) and Lyon (twenty-odd) can get through close to forty overs with a bit of help from Clarke, Warner and Hussey or whoever takes his place you'd think your three quicks would be able to slide in under that fifty overs bar, wouldn't you?

And with that, m'lud, I rest my case...

Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Perth 2012: Day Four


And, in the end, it was as comprehensively clinical as the most pessimistic observers might have feared.

But at least it didn't happen the same way in Brisbane and Adelaide, which would have run towards nightmare territory. That, of course, raises the question of whether the Proteas were happy to accept the draws in the first two Tests because they fancied their chances in Perth but we don't really want to go down that road, do we?

What Perth 2012 does underline, however, is the gap between the current #1 side and everyone else, and between the top three and just about everyone else. The pecking order is, it seems, largely unchanged.

South Africa are opening up a break from the rest of the field and look like maintaining that ranking because it's difficult to see how anyone's going to manage to knock them over at home, and unless they're served up a diet of subcontinental raging turners it's hard to see a comprehensive defeat when they're touring.

Look at the batting lineup and with the emergence of duPlessis and Duminy to come back they've got someone to cover for Kallis when he goes. They still need a top ranked spinner, but in a setting where Steyn, Philander and Morkel are operating, with or without Kallis, Peterson is always going to have a chance since he's the bloke the batsmen are likely to go after.

As I remarked to Jimbo in the walk this morning Clarke and Hussey might have been looking to hit him out of the attack to force Smith to turn to someone else, but if you were in Smith's shoes why would you?

Defending more than 600 over two days it doesn't matter if the spinner goes at a run a ball provided the bats are having a go at him. It'll establish whether the bowler can handle a serious assault, and while the bats are chancing their arm the bowler's always got a chance.

Looking at our batting on the day there wasn't a whole lot to be cheerful about apart from the Starc/Lyon cameo at the end.

Warner went early, and was probably always in danger having to start up twice.

Watson got a pretty thorough working over before getting caught at slip without answering any of the questions about his suitability at Three, which won't come as a surprise to anyone who has watched his progress (or lack thereof) over the years.

I first saw him as a ten-year-old and it was obvious he was expected to develop into something special. He's shown glimpses of that since, but hasn't managed to deliver consistently. Whether he ever will is going to depend on factors that still need to be sorted out. I don't think he's opener material unless he's going to limit the bowling, and he's obviously seen as an important part of the attack, so that's unlikely.

Technically he's probably good enough to slot into Three, but has failed to deliver when he's there, which means he's probably not happy and would prefer to bat somewhere else. That's a problem because, as the captain of my 92 NQ Schoolboys' side remarked, Watto tends to get what he wants.

Actually, what I think he needs is an obvious rival for the all-rounder slot so that he has to knuckle down to hold his place rather than being assured of slotting straight back in as soon as he's over his latest injury.

Much was made of the Protea guard of honour as Ponting walked to the crease but, seriously, you're going to do that, aren't you? The ABC commentary team were referring back to Bradman's last Test appearance, where the English team gave him three cheers and he was bowled second ball, allegedly unable to focus on the ball because he was a bit teary.

I'm not sure about the teary bit, but all the great batsmen have their own ways of setting themselves before the start of their innings, and if there's something you can do to disrupt that you're going to try it, aren't you?

Cowan fell to a fairly obvious trap, playing on instinct and hooking the short one from around the wicket, caught in the deep off Steyn. He'd done his job and should have been looking to go on, but there you go.

Clarke got himself stumped seemingly trying to hit the spinner out of the attack, which is all very well in theory, but in this situation it doesn't seem to have been the smartest option. Here, it didn't matter if Peterson went for 300 because he was always likely to pick up a couple of wickets.

Hussey drove, nicked and got caught behind off Steyn, Wade got caught at short midwicket off Peterson, Johnson caught behind off Philander and Hastings slammed a few off Peterson before getting caught at slip off Morkel.

The Starc/Lyon cameo got itself underway whileI went down the street to follow up on some missing cat sightings, but was never going to do anything more than provide a little bit of light relief at the end of a comprehensive trouncing.

From here, looking towards the Sri Lanka series the big questions involve Ponting's replacement at Four, where Watto fits, how long for Hussey and who, apart from Siddle (and possibly Starc) is going to join Lyon in the four man bowling attack.

My team, pending the Chairman's XI game:

Cowan, Warner, Khawaja, Clarke, Watson, Hussey, Wade, Siddle, Starc, Hilfenhaus, Lyon, Johnston. Hilfie or Johnston for drinks waiter duties...

Sunday, December 2, 2012

Perth 2012: Days Two and Three


It's difficult to avoid the conclusion that something happened between the lunch break and the tea break at the WACA on Saturday.

Something definitely happened in the morning session, and something was happening right up to the time the players headed off for lunch. At that point we weren't exactly in the game, but we weren't totally out of it either.

Resuming at 2/33 with nightwatchman Lyon protecting Ponting from the tricky last bit of Day One we weren't looking good, but there was always the prospect of a Warner, Ponting, Clarke, Hussey and Wade led revival. That, after all, is what happened in Brisbane and Perth.

I like to think of Test cricket as a scenario where one side gains a bit of dominance and the other tries to wrest it away. We'd been dominant early on Day One, South Africa had clawed it back by Stumps to be on top for the start of Day Two, and it was up to our batting to get us back into the game, assuming they were good enough to do it.

And, possibly, against any other attack they might have been able to do it.

But not against this South African attack on a wicket that had something in it for the bowlers. It was, in short, the sort of demolition the pessimists among us had dreaded since the start of the Gabba Test.

2/33 became 3/34 (Warner), 4/35 (Lyon), 5/43 (Ponting) and 6/45 (Clarke). At that stage we weren't quite gone for all money but it was close. With Hussey and Wade at the crease there was still a glimmer of hope, and when Hussey went at 7/100 it was, as far as I could see, an exercise in sticking around and getting as close as possible to South Africa's 225, then trying to grab early wickets in the second dig.

Straightforward.

Much of the revival had come through Wade, who'd decided to fight fire with fire by riding his luck, bringing up his 50 at just over a run a ball. He went in for lunch on 60 with the score on 7/118 after 36 overs.

But somewhere between then and stumps something intervened to ensure we were off the boil in that remarkable last session when the Proteas went from 0/24 to 2/230.

Maybe it was something that happened in the dressing room, a chance remark, or an unintended slip of the tongue that got interpreted the wrong way, or a disagreement between a couple of members of the Australian camp.

Maybe it was something that happened in the dining room, assuming there's a common area where both teams and the match officials get stuck into the catering, a passing comment from one of the South Africans, or a swagger that suggested hey, we've got this thing won that threw the collective mind off what should have been the game plan.

I'd like to think it was something like that, but there's always the possibility that it was just one of those off days that most teams encounter, or, equally possible, once Smith and Amla got going the ferocity of the assault left us reeling and unable to come up with a counterpunch.

In any case, the middle session on Saturday presented an almost unarguable case for the intellectual deficiencies of the fast bowling fraternity. I had thought wicketkeepers were supposed to be more intelligent than the quicks, but then, thinking back over some of the stumpers I've met maybe I'm not so sure.

In a situation where the South African attack comprised three quicks and a left arm tweaker, with Kallis unable to bowl, you'd have expected Peterson to get plenty of overs, so it should have been a case of holding out the quicks at one end and milking the tweaker without forcing Smith to bring back a quickie at that end.

Do that and you're likely to be able to stick around and, quite possibly, get fairly close to that South African score of 225. Sensible batting should have got us to the tea break somewhere around the 170 mark, hopefully with wickets in hand.

Instead, we lose Wade and Johnston looking like they're trying to hit the spinner out of the attack, which doesn't seem like the optimum approach when you're apparently trying to do it by numbers through injudicious slogs. Then Hastings, for some reason, decides to take on the deep fielder on the straight hit.

Not very bright.

It was a case where it should have been head down and get as many as possible, and use up as much time as possible in the process. Get to tea with wickets in hand, and bat on until, quite possibly, you've passed the target.That would have been somewhere around the sixty over mark, with a good hour and a half before the new ball is due, so you'd reckon there'd be a fair bit more of Peterson unless Smith decided to bring pace on from both ends.

If he did, and it didn't pay off it would have to be back to Peterson or try one of the part timers to use up some overs while you wait for the new ball.

But that's not the way it worked out, and with six overs between the change of innings and the tea break you're supposed to be looking at two goes at the openers and a two hour session, then another crack when they have to start again in the morning.

So we go in to tea with them 0/24, which isn't too bad, but thirty-four overs in the last session yield 206 runs, and it's goodnight nurse.

Now, I know we're not that good, but at the same time I don't think we're that bad either. Certainly you'd expect a little more fight out of the dog, which is what makes me suspect something happened.

We'll never know, of course, and but if it did it can be identified and steps taken to ensure we don't get caught that way again.

On the other hand, the assault that came in that final session would have been enough to derail most bowling attacks. Amla came in in the sixth over and came off on 99 after thirty-eight. Admittedly there was an extra half hour tacked on, but it was an innings that was as remarkable, in its own way, as Dougie Walters' century in a session in 1974 or the assault Roy Fredericks launched on Australia's pace attack the following year.

Smith's 84 was a decent knock as well, but, seriously, we should have been able to limit them to somewhere between 80 and 150 for the extended session.

There was obviously a bit of regrouping overnight, though Matthew Wade's comments reported here could only be described as optimistic to the point of being delusional.

Had things gone the way they should, and quite possibly could, have done, we'd have been heading towards the end of day Three with the Proteas scratching their heads and wondering whether they were far enough ahead to declare, or should they bat on for another forty-five minutes today just to be sure.

Still, Day Three was a much better performance in the Sticking to the Guns department, and the fact that Johnston and Starc finished up with the ten between them could see both headed off to Bellerive to deal with Sri Lanka, though you'd fancy Siddle and Hilfenhaus will be back on Hilfie's home ground.

From here, of course, there's no way we're going to score the 592 runs needed to win, and with that South African attack facing what could be two days in the field there's a chance for everyone in the top order to get among the runs, possibly sending Punter off with a ton but, more importantly, sorting things out as far as the top three are concerned and ensuring that Khawaja, Ferguson, Hughes or Doolan (the most likely candidates, I can't see the selectors going for Cosgrove, Rogers has been tried before and Henriques may have to wait for Watto's next injury) slot into a top order that's got a bit of form behind it.